Shkolnikov, Vladimir M.; Klimkin, Ilya; McKee, Martin; Jdanov, Dmitri A.; Alustiza-Galarza, Ainhoa; Németh, László; Timonin, Sergey A.; Nepomuceno, Marília R.; Andreev, Evgeny M.; Leon, David A. (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2022-06-18)
Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an alternative retrospective baseline derived from the lowest weekly death rates achieved in previous years and a within-year baseline based on the average of the 13 lowest weekly death rates within the same year. These baselines express ...